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Search Results 0 to 49 of about 281 (some duplicates have been removed)
of minor things. let's watch and see what the gallup says tomorrow. gallup has been out of commission since sandy hit the east coast. they went back into the field late last week and they will finish polling tonight and release it tomorrow. see what the likely voter number says among gallup. when we last saw it, i believe it was four points at 51-47 and we will see where that is. >> sean: do you you think sandy had impact? i guess we will find out in the gallup poll because governor romney was 50% for 15, 16 days in a row before they stopped. interestingly there was a moment where i think the president got a little momentum because he went in and looked all presidential. if you look at long island and new jersey and new york if you want to get gasoline, it is four hours wait. people without electricity. people freezing. no -- really no government presence. >> and look, american people are seeing this. we are likely to -- it took a couple of days to bake in the positive. it will take a couple of days to bake in the negative. >> sean: may not show up in the polling before the election. >> it
and gallup have 49 romney, 48 obama. cnn has it tied 49%, 49%. mom moth 48%, 448. you know what my two favorite polls out of those five are? >> bill: abc? >> yeah. absolutely. 50 obama, 47 ron romney. of course they are 35 democrat. 29 republic for 6 democrat advantage that is one point less than they had in 2008. i don't know of any sane person who thinks that the democrat intensity in this election is going to match it. it's going to be somewhere like 3, 2, 1, or gallup says 1 point more republic than democrat. in which case obama's lead is wiped out in that poll. >> bill: i want to asurety audience on wednesday we will deal with the pollsters who may have put them thumb on the scale. >> cnn is another one. they have tied poll with 11 points more democrat. >> bill: that says that romney would win because they are stacking. >> absolutely. let's get into your electoral college map. i agree with almost every one of your selections here except new hampshire. i think the neighborhood matters. this was a state that bush won in 2000 and lost in 2004. why? because there was the guy from next
back to where he was. me might find out in gallup, gallup at points at mitt up five and six and seven points. see where he shows you up tomorrow morning. >> greta: i don't know why any one is paying attention to the national polls right now. i'm only paying attention to colorado and ohio and pennsylvania and florida, wisconsin. >> if mitt romney is going to win let's say gallup by five points then states you and i aren't even talking about, minnesota and others, they come into -- if he has a big wave going then a number of the other states come into play and the even states probably tip over. but all of the polls i'm seeing rasmussen, they all have it even. washington post, mitt s down one. and the energy enthusiasm have got the to make up for that. >> greta: i can't even imagine what these two men are going through. >> well, you know, as i say you take a look at mitt and he looks like i have done the best i could. in is a great country. and it is in the lap of the gods if you will. and that sense, didn't you get that from watching him in the the closing remarks. he is very tired you
what is going on? >> we do. gallup and pew both tell us about 19 million people have voted already in this country they say romney has 7 point edge on national basis according to gallup and pew interesting swing. obama led mccain this time four years ago by 15 points according to gallup or by 19 points according to pew. so it's been a 22 or 26 point swing in the republic's favor. >> they get this from exit polling. how do they get the data. >> try to read by party registration. x number of democrats. >> bill: they have to have that on the ballot. >> on a lot of the states not all of them. >> bill: their projection is that romney is winning by how much. >> 7%. that's on a national basis. and then when you drill down on specific wing states it differs, some polling of actual vote in nevada and iowa that shows president obama is doing better than mitt romney in those states and those are the states that going to decide the election. >> i think that's because and this is karl rove speaking now not me more democrats ordered voted early than republicans. bret baier will be anchor next tu
.0 for obama. see what the gallup says tomorrow. it has been out of commission since sandy hit the east coast. they will finish the polling tonight release it tomorrow. see what the mriekly voter number says among gallup. the last we saw was four points 51-47. we will see where that is. >> you think sandy had an impact. we will find out in the gallup poll. romney was 15 percent for 15, 16 days in a row before they stopped. interestingly there was this moment where the president got momentum because he looked presidential. if you look at long island, new jersey and new york if you want to get gasoline it is four-hours wait. people without electricity people freezing. really know governmental presence. >> the american people are seeing this. a took a couple days to wabake the positive. whatever minor advantage he received during it will be washed away. the biggest advantage he had was intangible. it took attention away from the campaign and discussion from debt and deficits and spending and joblessness and anemic growth. >> talking about revenge verses how governor romney asking to do what's be
the bottom, rasmussen, gallup, npr national journal and a.p. rasmussen and gallup, rasmussen conservative. gallup we said all along they were not right. who finished at number one? it was a tie. public policy polling and daily kos. this is going to macon serve active heads explode. they were the most accurate. ok? now, at least to the credit of some of the republicans, they have admitted what fools they were. >> well, i'm not going to say bluntly we were wrong but karl rove a whole group of is frankly misunderstood what was happening in the country. >> they had a very good ground game and played offensive ball the entire time. >> i plead guilty. i goofed, made a mistake. i undercounted the minority turnout and women and young people. >> bill: oops! ok, at least they admit it. the guy who won't? nate scarborough who said nate silver is a joke. oh right be he got 50 out of 50 right. so here's nate silver on the daily show. >> what was surprising to me is that before the election, people who were not just predicting romney will eke it out in ohio, to come to that concl
. >> gallup said they don't have a definitive answer and they're going to be looking at their administration. the one thing with gallup, they were calling cell phones and following most of the methodology that others are, so it's hard to gauge. i will say that it's more than their likely voter model. we're going to have a report looking into at some point soon about this at "huffington post." i think there is something about the way they were sampling the adults, not just the whole likely voter. >> eliot: i think they were using a phone book from 1968. senior polling editor for the "huffington post," thank you for coming on the program. >> thank you very much. >> eliot: for the political impact of the polls, good, bad and ugly on the 2012 election, i'm joined by tina dupuy and eric bolert. tina, let me start with you. are pollsters trustworthy are some becoming cheerleaders you have pollsters going on fox and saying we're winning. is that infecting this profession? >> i think so. first off as soon as people were told what they wanted to hear suddenly they wanted to hear more. they had their
for gallup which showed mitt romney with a wider lead than other polls admits gallup might have overestimated the get-out-the-vote efforts. >>> it's time for a geography quiz. put on your thinking caps. what is the name of this country? all right. if you said mexico, then you were wrong. our neighbors to the south actually go by the official title estados unidos mexicanos which is often translated as the united mexican states. but felipe calderon is making one last attempt to change the name to just mexico. >>> finally, you weren't the only one tweeting out thanksgiving pictures. cindy mccain grabbed this picture of her husband john mccain. he's in the green cap getting ready to deep fry a turkey. and then florida senator marco rubio is showing off his bird. this is his bird ready to eat. the obama campaign tweeted this black and white picture to mark the holiday showing a much younger first family. and that is your morning dish of "scrambled politics." >>> investors had the day off for thanksgiving, and the ones who aren't out shop having to go back to work today. the u.s. markets will be op
. a very enthusiastic reception. the latest polls, gallup has romney up by one. washington post has obama up by 3 but the sample was skewed the democrats and we got the latest revenues and poll numbers. romney by one, 49-48. 1 twenty million votes will be cast today. it has already begun and "varney and company" is beginning right now. stuart: it is tuesday, november 6th, it is election day. since it is the most critical day of lee year, charles payne is joining the company early. special treat. the mainstream media is pulling for president obama saying signs point to an obama victory but these pictures tell a different story. for the second straight night a packed crowd for mitt romney. thousands attend romney, his wife, kid rock, romneys were overwhelmed with emotion after a long standing ovation. contrast that with these pictures from president obama in ohio. he spoke to a half empty arena in columbus even though he was joined by bruce springsteen and jasey. mitt romney's campaign is quietly confident. the romney campaign's internal polling has romney ahead in new hampshire, and ohio.
's presidential election is so close it will be won or lost in a few swing states. a "usa today" gallup poll of 12 battleground states finds the race to be a dead heat. today president obama and mitt romney are off on an intense final day blitz of those critical states. susan mcginnis is in washington with more. good morning. >> reporter: good morning. this is it. these two candidates have one more day to make their promises attack each other, they got to be tired but looking at them over the weekend they are still going strong. president obama did a little dance in cincinnati where stevie wonder introduced him. also in ohio mitt romney talked about the president's chances of winning. >> it's possible but not likely. >> reporter: the candidates have been burning up jet fuel crisscrossing the country. on sunday president obama was in new hampshire, florida, ohio and colorado. >> i know a bunch of you already voted. but if you haven't, there's still time. >> reporter: today he'll hit more swing states with ohio, wisconsin and iowa before heading home to chicago. >> after we've been through together,
show a significant stapl link o sampling, tkepls plus 7. this time around gallup did that national survey that the country is r plus three. there's been a 15-point swing in the country from dems whatever it was and now it's in the republican's favor. how do we trust the polls when it says dem plus 7. >> it may be predictive of what folks at home are saying. what counts is who goes to count. that's why gallup is different from the rest. you have to answer several questions to be classified as a likely voter by gallup. most of these polls, are you going to vote, yes. he's a likely voter, in the mix he goes. what is constituted at the polls today and in the final vote may be very different than those polls. thattess don't mean that the polls are wrong, it just means they may not be predictive. megyn: brit hume was saying earlier you may have an unenthusiastic voter, as long as he votes you don't care. you're part of the fox news decision desk and we joke about it but it's a serious responsibility. and i mean this is it. americans have been watching this so closely, so many millions of
man in america. on the eve of the democratic convention, the gallup did a poll. 65% of americans said they wanted henry wallace as vice- president. drew men who wanted wh were the party leaders. in the 1944 convention, after wallace makes is important speech, there is a great demonstration in favor of him. before he could get his name in the nomination, he would be back on that ticket -- pepper got 5 feet from the microphone before the party bosses shut down the convention that night. 5 feet, had pepper got in there and wallace become vice president, instead of truman, there would have been no atomic bombing and possibly no cold war. had there been no cold war, the whole history would have been so fundamentally different. but history can be different. it was the people who were pushing wallace against the bosses. tavis: issue #2, you all changed --the story line or tryo get more truth out of the storyline, who was promulgating the cold war. all the movies tillich one way, mr. stone. you tell it another way -- all the movies tell it one way, mr. stone. you tell it another way. >> yes,
's more urban -- >> that's denial. >> our country is more pro-life. in the last gallup pole -- >> that's not true at all. we don't have any problem with pro-life women or -- >> no -- >> bush got elected, he was a pro-life president. every republican is going to be pro-life. >> not every. >> the fact is that there was no room in the republican party for anybody who was pro-life, and women are pro-choice. to say it didn't matter to women is not to have gotten the message. there was value added in these reproductive issues. >> all right, and we are out of time. from women politicians to the women's vote. cari stein reports. >> after months of predictions about how women would vote in the presidential election, the guessing is over. women who are 54% of the electorate voted in record numbers and voted overwhelmingly for president barack obama. 55% of the women's vote went to obama. 44% to romney. unmarried women backed president obama by a 38 percentage point margin over romney, child 53% of married women preferred romney. the gender gap for president barack obama was 10 percentage points
, ohio and new hampshire. this race is tightening up. it's a usa today gallup polls and shows that romney and open are tied at 48%. with that said, here's how each one is closing out. >> our work is not yet done. the fight goes on. [ applause ] >> our fight goes on because this nation cannot succeed without a growing thriving middle class and strong ladders. >> if you believe we could do better and if you believe america should be on a better course and if you're teared of -- tired of being tired, then i'd ask you to have the for real change. i won't waste any team complaining about my predecessor. >> so, kelly, no real surprise that the running mates are on the campaign trail, the running mates' wives. we heard from the romney campaign, they want to keep the energy going. his team announced last-minute stops and finally, kelly, president obama travels here to click later on tonight. >> all right. tory dunnan thanks for that live report. we will see you tomorrow. >> and staying with the political theme, we're talking about the other running mates, the candidates' wives. michelle obama and
as flirtatious. a new gallup poll points to the scandal on general petraeus being considered once a presidential candidate. since january of his last year, his unfavorable marks are up 20%, his favorables are down 15%. >> if you look at those numbers, he still has four times the support as congress. >> that's true. i guess that's one way of looking at it. we'll move on. >>> it could take another five years for the church of england to reconsider a measure to consecrate women as bishops after the motion fell just short of approval yesterday. opponents argued against the church's authority to change the policy suggesting it went against the bible. supporters say female priests represent an important role in the church and deserve the opportunity to attain the title. yesterday's vote came 18 years after the church opened the priesthood to women. >>> finally, kevin clash, the puppeteer behind "sesame street's" elmo character has denied allegations that he sexually abused boys. a $5 million lawsuit accuses clash of having sex with a boy almost a decade ago. another man made claims last week but later
in the battleground states. look at the gallup poll, you can't win by five points nationally without winning the electoral college. >> tom: very interesting. pat, thank you very much zblool. >> tom: still to come. has extensive media coverage on huicane sandy weakened his moment and obama look more presidential. tucker carlson and fred barnes weigh in. then will obamacare contraception mandate affect the catholic vote. does politics belong in the pulpit? plus mitt romney has closed president obama's lead with women voters? what thiangd chair minds? that is coming occupant tom sullivan show. ♪ ♪ [ male announcer ] they are a glowing example of what it means to be the best. and at this special time of year, they shine even brighter. come to the winter event and get the mercedes-benz you've always wished for, now for an exceptional price. [ santa ] ho, ho, ho, ho! [ male announcer lease a 2013 glk350 for $399 a month at your local mercedes-benz dealer. >> tom: days before the presidential election, polls are all over the place. which polls can we trust. joining me is fred barnes and cofound
% over obama 46% according to gallup. look at the numbers in 2008. if we could pull that up. a big difference. barack obama had 53% to john mccain's 43%. what does it tell you? for weeks we have been hearing the media paint a storyline while obama is ahead in early voting. now we know that isn't true. particularly in states like ohio, florida, ohio -- >> dana: nevada. >> andrea: same thing, nevada. ohio fewer dems voted in ohio compared to 2008. 30,000 more republicans have voted. if obama had that lead with mccain and long at 2008, but only led by three points with likely voters romney leads the likely voters by five points. he won bison overall. if you look at the same panorama, it's all over. >> bob: in reality, you talk about the final vote in 2008 versus a week left to go to vote. people who vote early. you have to separate absenteeism from early voting. two separate things. people who vote early are senior citizens and they normally do. >> andrea: who leads with senior citizens? mitt romney leads. >> bob: right. >> andrea: independent and women. 3-point turnout advantage this
'm bret baier. how close is it? polls have romney and obama in deadlock. gallup has it 49-48 romney. real clear politics average of recent national polls has the president ahead by a little more than half a point. just ahead, karl rove and joe trippi break down the final electoral map and offer their prediction. the tug of war over ohio landed two men, not joe and carl, president obama and governor romney in shouting distance in the state capital. chief political correspondent begins our coverage from columbus. >> romney hit four states, tossup in the poll and the map to 270 electoral votes. >> we could begin better tomorrow, tomorrow and with the help of people in florida that will happen. >> first stop, florida, with shot at the president to shore up lead that dwindled. >> cared more about the liberal agenda than repairing the economy. did obamacare create new jobs? >> no! >> latinos are big in florida. and nationwide romney hoped to poll in 30s. he's been in 20s for months. first of two stops in virginia, lynchburg. >> get everyone we know out to vote tuesday. every voter get out. >> t
any. so for instance, '76. my longtime mentor doug bailey was on that ford campaign. said gallup showed ford up a point. it cost him. people said wait a minute the psychological factor. people went in the booth saying wait a minute. i forgot i'm punishing ford for nixon and that's why i'm going to vote carter. the problem now, say there's people with buyers remorse saying i'm not ready to reward the president. half the battleground state vote is in. it's in. it's already happened. colorado, florida, north carolina, iowa, nevada. more than 50% of those states have voted. let's say there's a buyers remorse at the end going wait a minute i don't want to reward this incumbent just yet. that vote's gone. >> i don't know if mass psychology works quite the way it did. the country's pretty divided as we said. communication is more fragmented. people speak discreetly to their own particular group. so the sort of crowd psychology notion of the past may or may not work. we'll find out tomorrow night. that's the faith that the romney people have. they're going on faith more than numbers in m
"gallup" or "pew" it better be because a horse broke wind. i don't want to hear their name forever. i have been hearing a lot of weird, weird voting problems going on. joe biden got confused because he complained the voting booth actually ate his atm card. >> eric: did he vote for the right person? let's move on. ohio. important swing state. kick off ohio. what is going on there? take a look. 7:30, eastern time. so parts of ohio are eastern and central if i'm not mistaken. go ahead. >> andrea: i'm so happy we are finally going to get an answer. not just on who the next president will be. so we can know what mood bob beckel will be in for the next four years ladies and gentlemen. we'll figure it out hopefully tonight. ohio, there was a "columbus dispatch" poll that democrats like to cite which shows that romney overperforming mccain by 22 points. to mccain's 11 points. the county to watch there is hamilton county. the very populated, swing county. this is very tight. early voting showed obama rehead. the democratic advantage is up. that and a absentee ballot wiped it out. >> dana: romney in
. following gallup and rasmussen and i was completely run. i want to congratulate president obama. i thought last night, when you had the picture of michelle obama and then the two girls, sasha and malia who have grown in lovely young women out of the public idea to credit to michelle obama's mother who has done that. coming out of it. where does president obama go from here? a lot of things are said never election. whereas mitt romney's speech was so gracious last night, president obama's left me a little flat. though i think everyone can feel that emotion with all the applauding. interesting to me that republicans, one of the things we talked about in the primary was republicans are going to have to win the independent vote. romney and all the polls, winning the independent vote. it turns out after america votes, that democrats don't even need to go for the independent vote anymore. if president obama wants to achieve big things he has the reach across aisle. president bush when he won in 2004, comes out of that after he won a device i victory like president obama. he tried to do two major
costs and questions associated with the state run exchange. a new gallup poll says most americans are against guaranteed government healthcare. number from the annual survey are 54-44. gallup says this is the first result against government healthcare since 2000. the head of the postal service says the agency can be $8 billion in the black each year. if it's allowed to cut retiree healthcare fund payment and eliminate saturday mail delivery. patrick donahoe notes the agency is losing $16 billion a year right now. money can't buy happiness and it apparently isn't doing much for government communication either. plus, what happened when a popular tourist town said no to a famous method of raising money? grapevine is next. ♪ (announcer) when subaru owners look in the mirror, they see more than themselves. so we celebrate our year-end with the "share the love" event. get a great deal on a new subaru and 250 dollars goes to your choice of five charities. by the end of th, our fifth year, our total can reach almost 25 million dollars. it's a nice reflection on us all. now through janua
, gallup added an lgbt question to their daily tracking survey in june and collected data on voter preferences and continues to. so, for me, one of the fun things that has happened for the lgbt movement and i actually don't think it's -- this is serious is this question is now a permanent question on the gallup daily tracking survey so every night in america 1000 people are asked if they are lesbian, gay or bisexual. see what percentage? >> about 3.5% said yes and the exit polling said that 5% of the electorate said yes and so what that allows us to do though is so we had data, have data from june, collected from june through september and for the first time we did and just look at the national vote that we can start to look at regional and state level votes. what i did was a little analysis, not just how the lgbt vote affected the national election and certainly from the national popular vote, it turns out that they lgbt support for obama is about the size of his victory over romney. so you can credibly make the argument that with the popular vote, the lgbt vote, baby huge differe
Search Results 0 to 49 of about 281 (some duplicates have been removed)